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Economic and market outlook 2018-2019, second quarter
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In 2017 the EU’s steel market performed healthily, supported by a marked improvement in business conditions on both domestic and international markets. Key drivers were investment and exports. While economic fundamentals bode well for further growth in EU steel demand, the increasing threat of protectionism and the potential of retaliatory measures leading to a global trade war is the key risk to an otherwise positive outlook.
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Strasbourg, 17 December 2025 – The European Commission’s latest proposals on the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), unveiled today, correctly identify several loopholes that risk undermining its effectiveness, notably regarding EU exports, downstream sectors and circumvention practices. However, despite these laudable efforts, the measures put forward fail to deliver a comprehensive and durable response to carbon and jobs leakage, warns the European Steel Association (EUROFER).
A milestone occasion to quickly and effectively restore affordable electricity, to relaunch the
decarbonization and strengthen the international competitiveness of the European steel
industry.
Brussels, 02 December 2025 – Unchanged negative conditions – U.S. tariffs and trade disruptions, economic and geopolitical tensions, protracted weak demand and still high energy prices – continue to weigh on the European steel market. EUROFER’s latest Economic and Steel Market Outlook confirms for 2025 another recession in both apparent steel consumption (-0.2%, unchanged) and steel-using sectors (-0.5%, revised from -0.7%). A potential recovery is expected only in 2026 for the Steel Weighted Industrial Production index (SWIP) (+1.8%, stable) and for apparent steel consumption (+3%, slightly revised from +3.1%) – although consumption volumes would still remain well below pre-pandemic levels. Steel imports retained historically high shares (27%), while exports plummeted (-9%) in the first eight months of 2025.
The European Steel Association (EUROFER)
172 Avenue de Cortenbergh
1000 Brussels
Belgium
Email: mail@eurofer.eu
Phone: +32 (0) 2 738 79 20
