News » Election of President Biden does not signal shift in US trade policy – the EU should take note.
Election of President Biden does not signal shift in US trade policy – the EU should take note.
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On 20 January 2021, President Biden finally took office as the 46th President of the United States. Warm words naturally followed from EU and world leaders, congratulating the new President on his elevation to the office.
President Biden's first acts in office were to reverse some elements of former President Trump's legacy. These included executive orders to rejoin the Paris Climate Change Accord, reinforced measures against COVID-19, social measures, suspending funding for Trump's border wall and rescinding permits for the building of the Keystone XL pipeline through a national park.
President Biden has long been a supporter of trade liberalisation: as Vice President he championed the TPP, and as a Senator he voted for NAFTA and China’s entry into the WTO. However, noticeable by its absence is any change to the notably aggressive Trumpian trade policy in his initial package of measures.
At the time of writing, there has been no movement on supporting the appointment of a new WTO Director General or revitalising the paralysed WTO appellate body. Early signals suggest that Biden will be hawkish on China. There has been no move so far to undo the damaging Section US 232 tariffs that, at least for the steel industry, were the most notable and damaging action of the Trump presidency.
Indeed, on his fourth day in office, President Biden signed an executive order further strengthening 'Buy American' regulations. For now, at least, it would seem that the motivation -if not the rhetoric – behind the 'America First' strategy of the previous administration has not (yet) changed.
This change of leadership but continuation of the existing approach to trade is one which EU leaders should take note of: while free trade is vital to economic growth, that freedom is contingent on fairness and fair play. The EU should defend its interests: other regions are willing to take advantage of Europe’s promotion of ‘free’ trade without sharing its matching commitment to ‘fair’.
For steel, this means extending and reinforcing the steel safeguard, dealing with global steel excess capacity at its principal source, swiftly deploying the full extent of available remedial trade defences when there are grounds to do so, and taking pro-competitive steps to improve raw material flows – such as by avoiding scrap export leakage out of the EU – and ensuring that carbon leakage measures remain firmly in place to encourage other regions to follow Europe’s decarbonisation lead.
Brussels, 11 September 2025 – The lack of a solution for steel in the EU-U.S. trade negotiations, the ongoing unpredictability of the global geoeconomic situation, and persistently weak demand against an ever-growing global steel overcapacity are squeezing the European steel market. In 2025, the outlook points to stagnation, with potential recovery only in 2026 — conditional on improvements in the global economy and an easing of trade tensions. According to EUROFER’s latest Economic and Steel Market Outlook, another recession both in apparent steel consumption (-0.2%, revised upwards from -0.9%) and in steel-using sectors (-0.7%, revised downwards from -0.5%) is confirmed for 2025. Growth prospects are now delayed at least to 2026, with projections of a rebound for both apparent steel consumption (+3.1%) and steel-using sectors (+1.8%). However, steel imports continue to hold historically high market shares (25%) in 2025.
Third quarter 2025 report. Data up to, and including, first quarter 2025
Brussels, 10 September 2025 – Reacting to today’s State of the Union Address delivered by Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Axel Eggert, Director General of the European Steel Association (EUROFER) said: