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Economic and steel market outlook 2019-2020, second quarter
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Final figures for 2018 show that the EU28 steel market grew by 3.3%. The preliminary safeguard measures could not prevent third country imports from rising by 12.6% and, as a consequence, local steel producers being flattened by deflected and cut-price steel products from outside the EU.
Meanwhile, the relaxation of the final safeguard measures – with an enlargement of 5% in February this year with another upwards revision of 5% scheduled for July – is completely out of step with the anticipated decline of the EU steel market in 2019. As such, the 10% increase in import quota allowed in the final safeguard measures risks squeezing the EU steel sector, as it will be exposed to rising import pressure in a depressed market.
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Strasbourg, 17 December 2025 – The European Commission’s latest proposals on the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), unveiled today, correctly identify several loopholes that risk undermining its effectiveness, notably regarding EU exports, downstream sectors and circumvention practices. However, despite these laudable efforts, the measures put forward fail to deliver a comprehensive and durable response to carbon and jobs leakage, warns the European Steel Association (EUROFER).
A milestone occasion to quickly and effectively restore affordable electricity, to relaunch the
decarbonization and strengthen the international competitiveness of the European steel
industry.
Brussels, 02 December 2025 – Unchanged negative conditions – U.S. tariffs and trade disruptions, economic and geopolitical tensions, protracted weak demand and still high energy prices – continue to weigh on the European steel market. EUROFER’s latest Economic and Steel Market Outlook confirms for 2025 another recession in both apparent steel consumption (-0.2%, unchanged) and steel-using sectors (-0.5%, revised from -0.7%). A potential recovery is expected only in 2026 for the Steel Weighted Industrial Production index (SWIP) (+1.8%, stable) and for apparent steel consumption (+3%, slightly revised from +3.1%) – although consumption volumes would still remain well below pre-pandemic levels. Steel imports retained historically high shares (27%), while exports plummeted (-9%) in the first eight months of 2025.