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Economic and steel market outlook 2019-2020, second quarter
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Final figures for 2018 show that the EU28 steel market grew by 3.3%. The preliminary safeguard measures could not prevent third country imports from rising by 12.6% and, as a consequence, local steel producers being flattened by deflected and cut-price steel products from outside the EU.
Meanwhile, the relaxation of the final safeguard measures – with an enlargement of 5% in February this year with another upwards revision of 5% scheduled for July – is completely out of step with the anticipated decline of the EU steel market in 2019. As such, the 10% increase in import quota allowed in the final safeguard measures risks squeezing the EU steel sector, as it will be exposed to rising import pressure in a depressed market.
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Brussels, 21 August 2025 – Joint written EU-U.S. statement broadly confirms the deal struck by Donald Trump and Ursula von der Leyen on 27 July: 15% U.S. import tariff on most EU products but 50% on EU steel, aluminium and their derivatives with the intention to consider working towards a tariff rate quota (TRQ) for EU exports and ring-fencing against global steel and aluminium overcapacity.
Brussels, 28 July 2025 — The European steel value chain is at a critical juncture. Deindustrialization is accelerating across both steel production, distribution and processing, threatening the resilience, competitiveness, and long-term sustainability of a sector essential to Europe's strategic autonomy and industrial base.
Brussels, 29 July 2025 – The proposal for a ‘highly effective’ new trade measure to counter global overcapacity and preserve the European steel industry’s capacities, published yesterday by France on behalf of a group of 11 Member States, is a timely initiative. The non-paper sets a clear course towards a comprehensive steel trade measure to replace the current safeguard regime at a critical moment, as the negative impacts of global overcapacity on the European steel industry continue to grow, says the European Steel Association (EUROFER).